Clinton Eastwood Jnr

Happy 80th birthday Mr Eastwood, my favourite movie star. I once held your mail outside your Pebble Beach home, but you'll never know that!


nick

Dunkirk

As the commemorations continue for the 70th anniversary of the evacuation of Dunkirk, I remember several years ago while still a serving officer, renewing the firearms certificate of a gentleman in Llangollen. While sitting in his house, I noticed a Dunkirk Association plaque on the wall and asked him about it. He'd been on the beach and exhausted and in total desperation, had thrown off most of his kit and decided to swim rather than die. Incredibly he'd got a few hundred yards before one of the little boats stopped and he was hauled in. His war continued and he was back in France on D-Day. Remarkable man, remarkable achievement.


nick

F1 in HD, now that would be something!

Still on a motoring theme of sorts, is there any logical reason why Bernie doesn't allow the BBC to transmit F1 in HD? At a total guess I'm suspecting that there may be an increased demand for broadcasting rights, but surely if there was ever a sport that would benefit from the wonder of HD, it's the colourful Formula 1. A mooch around the web shows Bernie's said it may be done eventually when "enough people are interested". Amazingly out of touch with the modern world there then Bernie. I can watch the Tour de France, World Championship snooker from the Crucible and even table tennis is on in HD tonight. Be honest Bernie, it's money!


nick

Why doesn't the DVLA move with the times?

I was travelling behind a BMW X5 earlier today. Whoever owns it had treated themselves to what they consider to be a personalised plate that ended with 7 ONO. A strategically placed black headed screw gave the 7 the appearance of a J and hence JONO has a personalised plate, albeit with a dodgy J. It got me thinking, exactly what is wrong with the DVLA taking a lead from the USA and issuing vehicle registrations made up entirely of 7 or less lettered words? More revenue, easier identification and happier owners. Winners all round, so what's the problem?


nick

With appreciation to Beppe Grillo

One of my favourite places to surf to is Beppe Grillo's blog. He's posted this today and I find it so worrying, I've copied and pasted it here. Environmental issues, despite what the media pundits said, were the most often asked questions in our hustings. It don't take a genius to work out that our Earth is the most precious thing we have, without it we're all done for!


nick



Lester Brown, one of the world’s foremost environmentalists and founder of the Worldwatch Institute and the Earth Policy Institute, raises some very interesting issues. He says that we must stop extracting crude-oil from the offshore fields unless they can be made absolutely safe, including the existing oilfields. The Gulf of Mexico could be just the beginning of a black tidal wave. The crude oil peak, in other words that point where crude oil reserves will begin to run out, will be accompanied by a water peak. These two phenomena will change the face of the economy, as well as civilisation as we know it. This is not something that is going to happen decades from now, it’s already happening now. In his book entitled "Plan B 4.0 - Mobilization to save civilization", Lester Brown, who also contributed to the creation of the documentary film entitled "Terra reloaded", produced in conjunction with Greenpeace, provided some guidelines for the future. A sort of survival plan, if you will, but also a plan to ensure a better tomorrow for future generations to come.

Interview with Lester Brown

The “Chernobyl” of the oil industry
Blog: "A few weeks ago, one of BP’s extraction platforms exploded and now oil is seeping out into the Gulf of Mexico. Meanwhile, Countries all over Europe are busy failing. What on earth is happening to this world of ours?"

Lester Brown: "We don’t know what went wrong. What we do know, however, is that BP was drilling in an area where the water is more than a mile deep and the oil reserves are under another half mile of rock. Therefore, the oil in the reserve is under extreme pressure. This raises two questions. Did something simply go wrong, or was the pressure in this reserve simply too high for our current technology to control? If the latter is true, this raises a red flag with regard to deep-water offshore drilling operations, simply because we don’t know what conditions we will encounter. Perhaps, notwithstanding the fact that our deep-sea drilling technology has worked well in the past, it may be inadequate in terms of managing any new problems arising from extreme conditions. Someone has said this could very well be the oil industry’s equivalent of Chernobyl, at least as regards deep-sea drilling operations, because if this oil spillage were to continue for months, the environmental and financial damage that it would cause would be enormous. The interesting thing in terms of the national economy is that this event is going to push up the GDP of the Gulf of Mexico region because everyone is going to be so busy trying to sort out this problem. But then it will decrease once again, given that this latest event is bound to negatively affect the local economies, as well as the local beaches, marine fauna, fishing industry and local businesses.
We have probably reached the technological limits as regards being able to extract oil relatively easily from the remaining reserves. These oil spillages are busy changing public opinion. Given that we know that we will soon have to find some sort of alternative to crude oil, why are we taking such risks simply to extract what little crude oil still remains in the reserves? I think that this is going to change the way in which we see the future of crude oil and all the other fossil fuels.
It is interesting to note that the values that lead to our excessive utilisation of natural resources are the very same values that lead to our excessive utilisation of financial resources. That same kind of excessive utilisation that exceeds the capacity of our credit system. We have seen this in the United States, with the huge levels of debt of the American credit system. It has now gone down a bit, but Americans continue to be totally unconcerned about the future. This leads to economic problems and environmental problems, and the overlapping of the two sets of problems due to over-consumption of natural resources.
The biggest problem facing the world today is the economic growth of the past fifty years – it has virtually quadrupled – and the consequent increase in the consumption of natural resources, which has increased far beyond sustainable levels. Agriculture is decreasing, fish catches are crashing, underground water reserves are declining, land is being eroded and savannahs are turning to desert. We are slowly, perhaps not so slowly and surely destroying the natural support systems. No population can survive once their natural support systems have been destroyed.
I asked myself, how will this excessive consumption hurt us. My forecast is that it will translate into a food availability crisis, price increases and an increase in political instability, as well as an increasing number of Countries going bankrupt. The overall number of Countries that are in the process of failing – Countries whose Governments are unable to guarantee personal safety or security of food supplies – is busy increasing. This raises an awkward question: how many Countries have to fail before our entire civilisation as we know it fails? We don’t yet know the answer to that question. We have never before experienced anything like this.

The ignorance of the economists
The question is: what can we do about it and what is the price we will have to pay if we don’t?. Indeed, if we don’t do something about it then it’s all over! Our civilisation will not continue to survive if we carry on with “business as usual”. We have to make some major changes, like cutting CO2 emissions, stabilising population growth, eradicating poverty, which is closely linked to the stabilisation of demographic expansion, and re-establishing agriculture, fishing, water reserves, in other words, our natural support systems. The problem is that we’re dealing with a complex set of issues and government leaders are in many cases taking advice from the economists. There are many things that economists are particularly good at, but there are also a number of things that they don’t do very well at all. Economists don’t understand the concept of sustainable yield limits of natural systems. Economics simply cannot fathom this concept. There is nothing in economic theory that can explain why Canada’s cod-fishing industry collapsed, or why the glaciers of the high plateaus of Tibet and the Himalayas are busy melting. Economics cannot explain why the polar ice-cap is busy melting in Greenland and why sea levels are rising. The economists have somehow become detached from the real world. They are isolated from reality by a body of economic theory. They are trying to discover the best way of making minor adjustments in order to adapt the system to explain what is actually going on, however, economic theory fails in its attempt to explain the basic relationships that exist between the global economy and the natural support systems. I have realised that the economists that advise Obama, or for that matter the Secretary General of the UN, the World Bank or the President of the EU, have no idea whatsoever of what is happening to this world of ours and don’t understand the urgency of, for example, the need to restructure the world energy supply markets.
Economics is also unable to explain the phenomenon that we call climate change. For example, the melting of the ice cap in the far northern Atlantic could lead to flooding in the rice paddies located in the Asian river deltas, thereby drastically reducing the size of the rice harvest in those regions. Unless they study these phenomena, they won’t immediately realise that the melting of Greenland’s glaciers poses a very real threat to rice cultivation in Asia, which is where half of the world’s population lives. This is the kind of complexity that we have to be able to deal with. The economists simply don’t have the right tools to develop appropriate policies.
Half of the world’s population lives in Countries where the underground water levels are dropping. These include three of the world’s major grain producing Countries, namely China, India and the United States. But the same thing is also happening in a number of smaller Countries, such as Saudi Arabia, Yemen, Syria, Pakistan, Mexico and others. By pumping water out of the underground water reserves at a faster rate than nature is able to replenish these reserves, we are merely feeding a food-production bubble. In essence, we are artificially increasing food production at the expense of our water supply.

The water peak
Once we have exhausted our water supplies, we will be obliged to reduce our pumping rate to match the rate of natural replenishment. These are not merely theories or discussion topics. This is reality. We have created some huge food-production bubbles that will burst sooner or later and I don’t think that the world is ready for this. It seems to me that there are certain irrigation zones in the United States Areas where water utilisation peak has already been reached and water supplies are now busy dropping. The same must certainly also be true in India. The same could very well be true in China, although we cannot be sure of this, as well as in a number of other smaller Countries such as Saudi Arabia, Syria and Mexico. What this means, in essence, is that we have probably reached peak water extraction levels and peak oil extraction levels at the same time. Many people talk about the peak oil extraction level, but very few people ever mention the peak water extraction level. However, I think that we have reached that point right here and now and I believe that I have some very convincing arguments in this regard. Once we have truly reached peak water extraction levels, the world as we know it will be very different to the one that existed prior to reaching peak extraction levels. During the course of our lifetime, our use of water for irrigation purposes will undoubtedly decrease. We face living in a very different world, one that we could never even have imagined. The same is obviously true in the case of crude oil. During the course of our lifetime, crude-oil extract has continued to increase, but now it’s declining. It’s going to be a very different world indeed.

Robert Owen banknote to be debated!

The 'Bank on Owen' campaign to have Robert Owen commemorated on a banknote to mark the International year of the Co-operative in 2012 is to be debated in the Scottish Parliament on Thursday 3rd June. This is excellent news and may just be the wee push we need to actually make the Robert Owen banknote happen.

If you haven't signed yet it only takes a few seconds to sign and all people have to supply is there name, e-mail address and town. Its also open to all ages.

http://www.gopetition.co.uk/petitions/bank-on-owen.html


nick

Thanks

What a week for my desktop pc to kick the bucket! Just managed to get back online and simply want to say thanks to all those who supported us last Thursday, to my agent Phil and to the Montgomeryshire Constituency Labour Party, who I'm proud to say will remain as friends for many years to come. Also my thanks to Joyce Watson AM, who has been a rock of support over the last year.

Back in October to do it all again?


nick

4th May 1985, my best day!

It's our silver wedding today, 25 years of putting up with me!


nick